Russia and Ukraine flashpoint

[SecondWar]

Ryuu96 said:

It has been suggested that a "Korean scenario" is possible in case of a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine. North Korea has never shelled Seoul since 1953 despite the short distance between South Korea's capital and the border.

But the reason is that North Korea was completely dependent on the Soviet Union then, and is completely dependent on China now. The Soviet Union did not want to continue the war on the Korean peninsula in 1953, and China has not wanted the new war there, as yet. Nor does North Korea itself want a real war, for now.

With the comparison to the Korean War, you’ve also got to take into account all of the conditions that lead to the ceasefire there. Yes, there was broadly a stalemate on the frontline. For one thing, it seems talks had been ongoing for two years, Koreans, North and South, generally don’t hate each other and crucially, the Stalin had just died leaving the Soviet leadership more interested in their own power struggles.

Bar potentially the last happening at some point with Putin, you probably aren’t going to recreate those circumstances in Ukraine.