Chris Ding clarified that it is common for the PS releases to be quite more frontloaded and Ninty long legged to the point it is normal for PS to take the first week crow while Ninty will get the overall highest selling. He also pointed to the fact it is 2D mario and there have been plenty of Mario games available on Switch while SM2 is basically the first PS 1st party in the year and even regarding exclusives there weren't many.
duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363
Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994
Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."