First year since 94 which I think will be an interesting race.
For me, just look at my username and you know I'm picking Shenmue! It really is THE game that pushed the industry forward here though: the open world, the level of interactivity, the attention to detail (ie replicating the exact weather of each day in Yokosuka back in the 80s + the individual lives and schedules of every single NPC in the game). All of this was leagues ahead of any other game in the 90s, and there are still things done in Shenmue that haven't been replicated even to this day
I don't think it'll win because a a lot of other games/franchises are far more mainstream today (for one, they still exist), but Shenmue was truly the last hurrah for Sega as a leader and pioneer in the industry and so for me, Shenmue is the clear winner