| shavenferret said: Russia is looking to exploit the attention and focus which is now on Israel, as funding for Ukraine will be difficult for Biden. This would be the best time for Russia to conduct an offensive, as I'm sure they've read The Art of War. |
Eh. What is happening in Israel is horrific and Israel did massively drop the ball in their intelligence agency but Israel's army is very capable and very powerful, they don't really need military assistance from America, or at least, they wouldn't need much, they've been getting it for years already and some of the best equipment, the only way they would is if another country got involved but that's unlikely as Israel has nukes. World is going to shit and I feel sorry for the innocents that are going to die on both sides but I see no reason why Israel's situation should take away funding from Ukraine. As I said before, Biden still has about $2bn in the PDA for Ukraine, Republicans still majority supported Ukraine aid in the most recent bills and if worst comes to worst, Biden has Lend-Lease to fallback on (which I would hate for him to have to use but it's still a viable option).
I don't really agree that this would be a good time for Russia to conduct an offensive because it hasn't changed anything in regards to the military situation on the ground in Ukraine, Russia has been trying and utterly failing to conduct offensive actions for months now and as a result we've seen the videos and images of dozens of vehicle losses, Russia has been trying offensives in Vuhledar as an example for months now and been getting smashed every single time, I truly believe that Russia aside from minor settlement captures has lost all offensive capability so they're opting now to (mostly) hunker down and hope to wait the West out with what they've already taken, the only successful offensive from Russia for almost a year now was Bakhmut and that took about 9 months to complete and it wasn't even done by the Russian army, it was done by Wagner.
Russia still attempts offensive actions along the entire front but Imo they're incredibly stupid to do so, as we can see from my tweets above, dozens of losses in a couple of days ending in utter failure, Russia is obsessed with capturing more of Ukraine to the detriment of their armies capability, the smart thing to do now would be to hunker down completely and wait for the West to grow tired of supporting Ukraine, no more offensive actions at all, but Russia can't help itself. Ukraine already has an advantage in equipment losses even during an offensive which should not be happening, the defender should be inflicting more losses on the attacker but somehow Ukraine has a (visually confirmed) advantage, so in an offensive that advantage becomes even worse for Russia. They just don't appear to have any major offensive capability as it stands right now.
Last edited by Ryuu96 - on 08 October 2023
