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I doubt we see a huge uptick in windows 11 until 2025 when official support for windows 10 ends. It not so much I think consumer care that much for official support but rather many big business going to switch over because of that. It possible they offer payed support for windows 10 longer like they did for windows 7 but I have my doubts and many companies I think will just bite the bullet and switch rather then paying for extended support.

Edit:  Assuming windows 11 is still newest.  Some rumors say they release windows 12 next year which might lead a lot of people to skip windows 11 completely.