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Torpoleon said:

@The_Liquid_Laser CESA will still update with sales of Mario Maker 2 though. The game is at 7.89 million as of the end of 2021. I imagine it will be close to 8.5 million by the end of 2022. Could see it crossing 10 million by 2025 or maybe 2026.

The latest CESA says that Mario Maker 2 is at 8.42m now.  You are right that this game has a good chance of limping over the 10m mark at some point.

https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/247582/cesa-2023-updated-sales-of-additional-nintendo-switch-titles/1/