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Agente42 on 27 July 2023
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Kyuu said:
Agente42 said:

The Steamdb and Switch Eshop demonstrate a steady pace of sales and better performance than the Sony/Microsoft after their launch. And the price dropped less than World. Rise may not surpass World phenomenon but Sunbreak was on par to reach Iceborn numbers.

New numbers

Monster Hunter Rise: Sunbreak

  • IR 06.30.22 2.5m
  • PR 07.05.22 over 2m
  • PR 07.26.22 over 3.5m
  • IR 09.30.22 4.4m
  • IR 12.31.22 4.95m
  • PR 01.18.23 over 5m
  • IR 03.31.23 5.45m
  • PR 06.07.23 over 6m (PS/Xbox launch)
  • IR 06.30.23 6.1m


Monster Hunter Rise

  • PR 03.29.21 over 4m
  • IR 03.31.21 4.8m
  • PR 04.05.21 over 5m
  • IR 06.30.21 7.3m
  • IR 09.30.21 7.5m
  • IR 12.31.21 7.7m
  • PR 01.18.22 over 8m (PC launch)
  • IR 03.31.22 9m
  • IR 06.30.22 10.3m (Sunbreak launch)
  • PR 07.05.22 over 10m (Sunbreak launch)
  • PR 08.26.22 over 11m
  • IR 09.30.22 11.2m
  • IR 12.31.22 11.7m
  • IR 03.31.23 12.7m (PS/Xbox launch)
  • PR 05.14.23 over 13m (PS/Xbox Sunbreak launch)
  • IR 06.30.23 13.2m

Source: fiendcode (Installbase)

Can't know its legs split on individual platforms especially on Playstation (which only shows the top 20 and has its sales spread out between two relevant consoles), and not releasing a physical version was a mistake. But it's safe to say its not passing 2-4 million copies across PS and Xbox combined, likely much closer to 2 million than 4 (80-90% of which on PS).

MHW (on 3 platforms and no Switch version) will end up outselling MHR (on 6 platforms and a bigger PC install base, since the minimum requirements are lower than World's) by 6-9 million. MHW was one of the biggest surprises in gaming history, catapulting the series from C to A-tier. Rise has no historic significance, and largely owes its success to World. Hopefully World wasn't a one-hit wonder and its true successor would achieve similar results.

Launch on Xbox and ps ( with Steam and switch promotion and selling well) 11,7 million. So only switch and pc was 11,7 million in December 2022.  Launching on the new platforms was in  January 20, 2023. So Switch and Steam have good promotions until the same day.

13.2 -11.7 =1.5 million with all the consoles.

2 million is a wrong overestimate. Only way was Nintendo/Steam had negative sales.

The best case scenario was o,5 million to Microsoft/Sony and then equal numbers until then.

1,0-1,2 to new consoles in best case scenario.

Last edited by Agente42 - on 27 July 2023