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Ryuu96 on 23 June 2023
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RolStoppable said:

I wonder how the whole Prigozhin issue will play out. On one hand, he has been getting more daring with each passing week since the ultimatum was set for private military companies to become underlings of the Russian defense ministery. But on the other hand, a lot of things he has said in the past didn't amount to more than rants filled with hyperbole in the aftermath, with no consequences being realized from his side, so he might just give in and sign the contract next week.

If he doesn't sign though, what options are there? If he can't keep his mouth shut, Russia might just arrest or assassinate him. Or he goes on the offensive with his PMC and cleans Russia from Shoigu, so a scenario where potentially a civil war arises. One that Wagner could have good chances in, because what Russian army is there left to defend the country? Highly doubtful that Prigozhin will go to Moscow though.

I can't forget about the other side. If Prigozhin doesn't sign, there may as well be nothing that happens, because Russia's officials themselves have kept lying and threatening throughout this war, with lots of threats turning out to be nothing but hot air. So the most likely thing to happen once the deadline has passed is absolutely no change other than Russia trying to frame Prigozhin as a mad man who has lost his senses in order to discredit him completely and keep the state-ordered propaganda going as usual.

EDIT: Just when I type all this, Ryuu submitted like six new posts, most of them on this very topic. LOL

LOL. Idk what the fuck is going on but I'm loving it.

Genuinely, I don't know what the plan is here, everything you said is true, Prigozhin has been trashing Russian MoD for months now and never acted on it but accusing them of actually bombing Wagnerites is a huge accusation and the July 1st deadline looms near.

I love the drama, I think his video is staged but is he really going to go through with not signing the contract? Will Russia punish him if he doesn't? Idfk...But none of this hurts Ukraine and only hurts Russia so keep at it! Love the drama.

Last edited by Ryuu96 - on 23 June 2023