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There are a couple of games I think we need to see at this upcoming Xbox conference that were already announced a while ago, and if we see nothing from them should raise major red flags. In my opinion, and in no particular order:

Avowed
Fable
Contraband
Hellblade 2
Perfect Dark

Some others I would start to feel concerned about if we don’t hear anything:

The Coalition: it has been 4 years since their last game release and 3 years since the last DLC.
Compulsion: we have heard next to nothing about what they are working on since they were purchased in 2018.
Inexile: it’s been 3 years since wasteland 3, and we have heard nothing since
Id: 3 years since doom eternal
Machine Games: 4 years since Young Blood