While not having additional intelligence on this incursion into Russia, I still believe it is a raid.
— MarkHertling (@MarkHertling) May 23, 2023
Raids are used to threaten or seize a limited objective, they cause movement by the enemy to defend against the raid & they are usually short in duration with a small force. 2/
Without additional intel, I still believe this is was a quick and limited raid.
— MarkHertling (@MarkHertling) May 23, 2023
I believe they will
1. Stay in place for between 48-96 hours, then withdraw
2. Sustain themselves while in place with (no resupply operations)
3. Attempt to limit casualties. 4/
Telltale indicators of this being a raid will be if/when the force withdraws back to Ukraine.
— MarkHertling (@MarkHertling) May 23, 2023
There may be other such raids/feints/
demonstrations to gather more information about Russian force dispositions and reinforcement priorities.
Well done! 6/6
Mark Hertling's (Former Lieutenant General, Commanding General of United States Army Europe and the Seventh Army, Commander of the 1st Armoured Division and Task Force Iron/Multinational Division-North in Iraq) thoughts on the raid, someone who actually knows what they're talking about.
Last edited by Ryuu96 - on 23 May 2023
