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[Ryuu96]

Machiavellian said:

Ryuu96 said:

Slightly different. IIRC NY Post said that Microsoft was optimistic about CMA approving the deal according to sources close to Microsoft. Reuters is saying that EC will approve it according to people familiar with the matter. Depends who those people are but EC is leakier than CMA/FTC. NY Post was more based on "feelings" while Reuters seems like someone has straight up told them it will be approved.

Also Bloomberg is now reporting the same.

Not that it matters though, the deal is still dead, but it'd be nice to see at least one major regulator hasn't lost the plot and is actually basing things on facts rather than rampant speculation. UK is once again going to stand alone as the problem (because lets face it, FTC would be crushed in US Courts), Lol.

If the EU approve, you still believe the deal is dead.  There are remedies that MS can pursue in the UK to get it done still.

Yes.

CMA wants the deal blocked. CAT doesn't look into the decision itself, they only look into whether the CMA acted irrationally, broke the law or broke procedure. In addition, no new evidence can be submitted to CAT, they only look into what was already submitted. Microsoft can't offer CMA anything new unless CAT throws it back to CMA.

Irrationality is their only course and it's an extremely high bar. Even IF (and it's a massive if), CAT throws it back to CMA, they'll find another reason to block the deal. The only extreme long-shot they have is ring-fencing but CMA have already stated they are acting as a global regulator so they'll want anything Microsoft does structurally to apply worldwide.

Deal is dead.

Last edited by Ryuu96 - on 10 May 2023