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CMA had bad data on the Console Gaming Market which caused them to remove the SLC so that Microsoft couldn't appeal to CAT.

But by everything I'm looking at here, from analysts, lawyers and those who actually monitor the markets (I.E. NPD), they clearly have bad data on the Cloud Gaming Market too.

I think a CAT appeal has a decent shot of succeeding but it doesn't mean CMA will change their decision.

Apparently 67% of appeals still end up with the CMA making the same decision. So that puts Microsoft's odds at 33% + Flimsy data.