Kakadu18 said: Famitsu's readers have always been more Playstation leaning. While Comg isn't the best point of reference, Famitsu's poll had FFXVI ahead of Splatoon 3 and Pokémon S/V last year. That poll is way less trustworthy unless you expect FFXVI to sell over 4mil in it's first week. TotK's first week physical shipment is going to be 1mil while FFXVI is unlikely to ever reach that even including digital looking at how software sales have so far behaved on PS5. The Amazon best seller charts are a good way to gauge interest. TotK is at #1, #8,#18. It has been #1 for many months now. FFXVI is at #4 and I think this is the highest it's been so far. In the GEO pre-order charts (one of the largest gaming store chains in Japan) TotK has been #1 for many months now, while FFXVI is #3, up from #4 the previous week. The farthest off Comg has been in recent years was with Pokémon Legends Arceus and that was because they had a shortage. |
I wasn't trying to suggest that the Famitsu Poll ranking would reflect sales accurately. TOTK will certainly outsell FFXVI. But COMG seems to heavily underrepresent ps5 titles at the moment. FFXVI has 39 points at the same time where FFXV had 250 points which would suggest a massive decrease in interest in FF in Japan and I don't believe that is the case. FFXVI will certainly sell less than FFXV imo but I believe COMG points are greatly exaggerating the situation.
RE4 had 59 points on PS5 and 98 points on PS4 but sold better on PS5 FW. If we look at Atelier Ryza that sold 1,479 units per point on PS5 compared to 864 units per point on Switch. Hogwarts Legacy on PS5 was also massively underrepresented on COMG selling a huge 3,537 units per point FW. When just looking at the last few games already finds a range of 800 per point to 3600 per point it's hard to see how COMG points can really be used as even a rough suggestion of sales potential.
Game | COMG Points | FW Sales | Sales per Point |
Hogwarts (PS5) | 19 | 67,196 | 3537 |
Forspoken (PS5) | 14 | 29,055 | 2075 |
Wo Long (PS5) | 16 | 30,132 | 1883 |
RE4 (PS5) | 59 | 89,662 | 1520 |
Wild Hearts (PS5) | 18 | 26,905 | 1495 |
Atelier Ryza 3 (PS5) | 10 | 14,787 | 1479 |
RE4 (PS4) | 98 | 85,371 | 871 |
Atelier Ryza 3 (Switch) | 36 | 31,130 | 864 |
Zero Mask of the Lunar Eclipse (Switch) | 13 | 10,712 | 824 |