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That's all straight from TSMC, even the wafer cost of +25% on 5 nm. So regardless of how good Blackwell is, you'll be paying more per a similarly sized chip.

Personally, I'd expect something like a 50% improvement on the 4090 for $2000 for the flagship and the same-ish TDP (although with a higher actual power consumption).

Edit - if Nvidia is going for Samsung, don't mind much these estimates then. Samsung's 3GAE is less dense than TSMC's 3N and their nodes tend to be a little worse overall, but beyond that it's hard to compare both in terms of cost and performance.

Last edited by haxxiy - on 08 April 2023