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| TallSilhouette said: This time last year the tone of the discussion was very different. We weren't sure if Ukraine as we know it would even be a thing today. Now there's optimism that they could more or less win this war. With any luck by this time next year Ukraine could have or be in sight of some form of victory over their oppressors. Just taking a moment to appreciate how different things feel compared to then. And thanks as always for the tireless updates, Ryuu. |
Gen. Mark Milley: The Russians have never achieved air superiority. Because they haven't achieved air superiority, they didn't have close air support for the ground forces. Another thing that they didn't do — which everyone thought they would do — is effectively use electronic warfare, jamming, shutting down the electronic spectrum. We don't really know yet why they didn't. One thing could be that the Russian radios and the Ukrainian radios were essentially the same old Soviet-era model radios, using the same spectrum, same frequency band. So if you shut down the Ukrainian radios, then you might be shutting down your own radio?
Another reason might be that the Russians anticipated taking over the commercial air waves — the television stations, the radio stations — in order to put out their propaganda. The Russian special forces and intelligence services are specifically tasked to do that, and they failed. They have a lot of special operations forces, and usually we think they're pretty well trained, but their special operations forces did not, as best I can tell, play a significant role in Russian operations. Everybody thought that they would be much more effective. Their paratroopers, assault forces, were not nearly as effective as we would have thought.
Everyone seemed to make a deadly combination of underestimating Ukraine's strength & courage and overestimating Russia's military capabilities, not realising the sheer level of corruption and rot that has infested Russia.
Last edited by Ryuu96 - on 25 February 2023
