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Kyuu on 15 February 2023
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DroidKnight said:
SKMBlake said:

Wow, that's the definition of optimism

Yep, sometimes I get a few predictions correct but when I'm wrong it's usually giving the console the benefit of the doubt.

Here is my overly optimistic guess of PS5 2022 sale through year.  I was surprised by how terrible it did.

It does seem though that I have a pattern of expecting the best.

Your PS5 predictions are generally pessimistic. I mean you predicted 16-17 million PS5's sold this year, and around a 100 million lifetime iirc. Neither figure is optimistic at all. For Series XS to sell over 80 million lifetime, it's going to need to nearly tie PS5 outside Japan from 2024 onwards per your own predictions. Think about that for a second.

Sure you overestimated production improvement last year, but you're very clearly underestimating PS5's demand.

Back to the topic:

That will depend on Starfield's success. If it's even 40% as successful as Skyrim, then Xbox may peak either this year or in 2024 which I think is GTA6's year. Otherwise it may have peaked already but It's difficult to say. I'm leaning towards Starfield being a big success so my prediction is no it hasn't peaked yet. Then again, PC might cannibalize Series XS's sales a lot more than initially thought.