derpysquirtle64 said:
I think that if someone expects that game pass will hit 200m+ then he is a bit out of touch with reality. Like it or not but hitting 200m like Netflix has always been impossible target for lots of various reasons. If MS manages to get to 50m at least, this will be a huge success. |
That depends on what timeframe we are looking at. 50m-60m seems like a great target for the end of this gen but Gamepass subscriptions have the advantage of not resetting each gen. if we look long term like 15-20 years who knows? The gaming usebaser looks about 2x what it was 20 years ago if it has the same growth 20 years from now it certainly unlocks many possibilities.
I also believe Series S / GamePass combo is the greatest tool ever to date when it comes to unlocking emerging markets and a potential Series S Slim in some 2 years might be even better. if ever MS were to be able to hit a 100$-150$ mark just who knows the kind of sale they might reach.
As of now, Gamepass subscription growth is extremely tied to console sales but MS is trying to change that through XCloud, it's still too early to be of any significance but 10 years down the line?
Also if the deal does succeed MS's ability to churn out AAA won't be anything we've ever seen.
Anyway, I am not actually expecting that much and also think 50M-60M is more realistic in 3-5 years timeframe but I see a good probability (relatively speaking probably like 5-10%) of eventually witnessing a way more surprising growth.