shikamaru317 said:
I don't think they will abandon Avowed if it is a success, but I could see them postponing a sequel until after Fallout personally. Xbox knows the Fallout fans badly want a Fallout game this generation, and no matter how successful Avowed is, it will alot less popular than the ~14m lifetime selling Fallout: New Vegas. Xbox surely knows that it will take pretty much the whole of Obsidian working to get a Fallout out this generation. I could definitely see them postponing Avowed 2 and a potential Outer Worlds 3 in favor of doing a new AAA Fallout game from Obsidian first. The other option though would be for the Avowed team to immediately move to both Avowed DLC and an Avowed sequel, and then once Outer Worlds 2 ships, have the larger portion of the Outer Worlds 2 team move to Fallout and the smaller portion move to Outer Worlds 2 DLC. Then Xbox could get some of the Bethesda support studios in Montreal, Dallas, or Austin, to assist Obsidian's smaller Fallout team. Or they could get some other support studio/studios to assist them. |
I don't see it, Obsidian has far too many directors to focus the entire studio onto one project, it may cause people to leave, if there is a desire for Fallout from Obsidian it likely comes from the guys who actually have a connection to Fallout, those are Sawyer, Feargus, Tim and Leonard. Sawyer won't be thinking about AAA's anytime soon from his own words and Tim/Leonard are busy with The Outer Worlds 2, so it has to be Feargus to lead that team.
But if Avowed is a bigger success than The Outer Worlds, I really don't see them shelving it for Fallout instead of The Outer Worlds, which actually has Fallout developers on it and is far closer to Fallout in both tone and gameplay than Avowed will be.
Xbox may know that Fallout fans want a Fallout, but they aren't going to force Obsidian to do anything they don't want to, and Obsidian has rarely been a studio that hedged its entire bets on one title, even now they under the security of Xbox haven't focused on one or two projects but instead doubled down on multiple projects at once.
What I see happening if there's a desire for Fallout at Obsidian is your last paragraph, Avowed's team will remain intact if Avowed is a success and move onto Avowed DLC (as The Outer Worlds did) until Avowed 2 is out of the concept phase and then the team will get to work on Avowed 2. Since The Outer Worlds 2 is far closer to Fallout in every way possible, even having Fallout leaders on it, I think it makes far more sense to wait until that team is freed up.