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Ryuu96 on 16 November 2022
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drkohler said:
Ryuu96 said:

Unfortunate if true, since it's a Russian produced missile then it would likely be the S-300 (operated by both Russia & Ukraine but Russian made) which was fired at an incoming Russian cruise missile, missed its target, veered off course and landed into Poland, since it's Russian made I'd assume there's no failsafe or it simply broke.

I find this scenario somewhat problematic. The incoming rocket was on a ballistsic course towards the target inside the Ukraine, the outgoing rocket was an outgoing interception balliistic course. If that rocket missed the target, it would have to essentially make a 180 in the air and still have enough fuel left to reach Poland. I find this highly unlikely, so some crucial information is missing here.

You're probably overestimating how far into Poland it went.

S-300 is a long-range surface to air missile system and that distance is within range of almost all its ammo capabilities and I placed that distance right in the middle of Lviv but there's likely a few sitting around Lviv too, thus it could be even closer.

We've had countless examples during this war of how shit Russian engineering is and Russian missiles being fired from Russian controlled territory (or Russia itself), turning back and hitting Russians. When Russia is lobbing near hundreds of missiles at the country, a few countermeasures will fail and especially it seems, Russian made ones.

Only thing is that I thought these things would have fail safes, I.E., blowing itself up in case it misses a target, but it could be either that the S-300 doesn't have any failsafe measure (wouldn't exactly be a surprise) or it failed (also wouldn't be a surprise).

We also don't know in which direction the missile was fired from, I.E., if it was fired from Belarus then it may have been heading South down towards Ukraine and Ukraine would have to fire North to intercept which would put Ukraine's S-300 missile closer to the Polish border and closer to the village, it could have missed the missile entirely and just continued heading North until it eventually fell into the village.

Not all missiles fired from Russia itself would head in the exact same direction either, so it's not even necessarily true that the S-300 missile would have had to do a 180 if the missiles were fired from Russia.

Last edited by Ryuu96 - on 16 November 2022