Russia and Ukraine flashpoint

[EpicRandy]

This is what I think will be next for Ukraine.
Kherson will now be a pretty strong position but unsuitable for further progress. So Kherson manpower will be left at a minimum with the blunt of the force being sent to other fronts. From there I see 3 possibilities.

1. They try to progress south of Zaporizhzhia with Vasylivka and Tokmak being their first 2 targets before going west and pushing Russia out of the other side of the Dnipro while being supported by artillery from the north.
   1. The up side 
      • They'll open up the possibility to free the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear power plant and alleviate some of their energy crysis.
      • Russia might need to strengthen the region with low moral troops from Kherson preventing large swats of them to reach other fronts in the donetsk and luhansk regions.
   2. The down side
      • they will need to progress widely as to not get themselves surrounded and pushed against the Dnipro in a possible Russian successful counter attack. 
2. They reinforce the northern luhansk front and try to accelerate progress there
   1. The up side 
      • Logistics are pretty much in place and working in this area. 
      • New of large loss in the Luhansk should keep Putin presidency shaking. 
   2. The down side
      • they would only have 1 active front and Russians resource from Kherson might be reaffected pretty much everywhere.
3.  They strengthen the Donetsk defensive line.
   1. The up side 
      • they prevent any Russians progress where they've been trying for months. 
   2. The down side
      • Russian endure extremes loss in the region, Ukraine might want Russia to keep up their attempts which are mostly unsuccessful and costly. 

Last edited by EpicRandy - on 10 November 2022