Do you think PlayStation 5 sales will be as good as Nintendo Switch sales?

[Farsala]

The_Liquid_Laser said:

Farsala said:

As you wish. I am thinking more like 125-130m. But I will breakdown 130m.

Switch: 130m

Japan- 29m

Americas- 51m

Europe- 33.5m

Others- 16.5m

Yearly Breakdown as of Septermber 30.

2021- 92.86m

2022-112m

2023- 122m

2024- 126m

2025 and etc.- 130m

Switch should have another good year next year with no successor announced and good SW support, ~20m. Beyond that I am not sure how the years will go, but here is a tentative prediction.

Ok, I put our projections together in one table alone with the current shipments (in millions).  I'm assuming someone will bump this thread up in a year or so.

	Sept 30, 2021	Farsala Lifetime	Laser Lifetime
Japan	22.06	29	37
Americas	36.31	51	58
Europe	23.6	33.5	49
Other	10.89	16.5	26
Total	92.86	130	170

One thing to keep in mind though is that Nintendo is forecasting about another 16m in shipments for the next two quarters.  That would put the total at around 109m at the end of the fiscal year.  That would mean they could only ship another 21m for the rest of their lifetime, which would be less than they'd ship for the current fiscal year (assuming Nintendo's forecast of 24m is accurate).  That is about the steepest cliff that I've ever seen anyone predict.

Next comparing to my prediction. I predicted 112m at this point, but the Switch shipped 114.33m as of the quarterly report.

It has already exceeded my expectations by 2m, we shall see for the rest of the years.

26.96/29m 93%

44.59/51m 87%

29.29/33.5m 87%

13.49/16.5m 82%

Looking pretty bad for me too, with Others projected to be closest.