Given that the executive branch's power over military functions was sharply curtailed some years ago, I doubt the President can do much with regards to military aid without Congress.
But the 2022 election doesn't worry me. Neither party is likely to hold a commanding majority and support for Ukraine is very broad. And 2024, as I said, is not so much about parties as it is domestic feelings about the war and inflation. If the War were to start going poorly or if NATO members outside the US slow their support financially and/or still haven't reached their 2% of GDP commitment, those could be issues. But inflation is the big threat. If inflation is running hot in 2024, that would likely lead to both parties pushing strongly domestic focused platforms and could see aid to Ukraine become a marginalized issue or collateral damage in the political battles so to speak.
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