Russia and Ukraine flashpoint

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Ka-pi96 said:

SecondWar said:

The one caveat I have in the back of my mind, particularly regarding developments over the winter, is with the US elections if a significant number of Trumpist candidates get elected they are likely to stonewall further support for Ukraine. So far some hard-right Republicans like Lindsay Graham seem to have been willingly to continue support but they might be willing fold if they have the numbers
Then if the war is still going in 2024 (here’s hoping Ukraine have won by then) that if Trump were re-elected he would be likely to pressure Ukraine into surrendering. Not sure in Desantis, the only other likely Republican nominee at this stage, but my presumption is he’d do something similar.

How dependent would Ukraine be on the US though? Especially by 2024. Their support has helped a lot, but Ukraine have already turned things around and are taking things back. They're getting support from plenty of other countries too, so even without the US they'd still have stuff coming in. I don't think there's any real chance of them surrendering, it's more a case of how much of their land they'd be able to get back.

Plus in the long term there are big question makrs over russia too. IIRC they have a presidential election in 2024, and granted it'll probably be rigged to be a putin win, but it could still result in a lot more unrest within russia. Gotta wonder how much longer putin will even last too. Sick old dictators with a tonne of enemies across the world and growing unrest at ho

me don't exactly have long life expectancies.

If this chart is accurate they rely heavily on the US when compared to what the rest of the world has given. I don't see Ukraine giving up the war effort even if the US dropped support but it would greatly impact them. US dropping support over time has been a fear of mine, public sentiment may change if this war is dragged out over years. I can already see politicians saying we have given enough and that we can't keep funding someone else's endless war. I hope that doesn't happen. Right now things are looking good, if Ukraine keeps making gains people will hear positive news stories on how US funding is paying off.

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