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There is no way Nintendo will launch a system in 2023 with MK8 and Splatoon 3 having support for 1-2 years unless it is fully compatible with it. And with that, i feel like it might just be considered part of the Switch family of system instead of a full on new model and will just replace it overtime like the Gameboy and Gameboy Color.

I just have the feeling that, with what Nintendo as been hinting at with longer lifecycle, they seem to be going towards a new generational model closer to Phones than past consoles. Like they might just keep updating the Switch over the years and keeping the same library and NSO service, adding some features and functionalities exclusive to the new models. It would only be hard to market which console can play which game eventually.