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ssk on 02 September 2022
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Megiddo said:
ssk said:

For example, here are the prediction for the releases of this week :

Title Hardware Publisher Release_Date COMG_Sales Famitsu_FW_Pred
Earth Defense Force 6 PS4 D3 Publisher 2022-08-25 96 63638
SD Gundam: Battle Alliance NSW Bandai Namco 2022-08-25 60 51006
SD Gundam: Battle Alliance PS4 Bandai Namco 2022-08-25 24 15910

Fairly close for EDF, underestimated by 5k

13k overestimated for SD Gundam Switch and 4k underestimated for SD Gundam PS4. 

Might want to separate 1st party/Nintendo titles from 3rd parties if your formula doesn't take that into account.

Yes, gundam nsw is far. The ratio was really low (644).

My model takes into account the platform (nsw usually has big ratio) and the publisher (bandai namco has low ratio). This week it was not bad (soul hackers had~ 15% error for both platform as well), except for gundam.

With the addition of new entries in the database, it should improve as well.