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Farsala said:
Kakadu18 said:

For Splatoon 2 Comg had opened up preorders before any other retailer. That's why it got so many preorders. This is also why it's better to compare Splatoon 3's preorders to other games that opened above 1mil.
Splatoon 3 is obviously going to sell double of what Splatoon 2 sold week one physically. Even if Splatoon 2 ends up with more preorders on Comg.

Comparing series to their own predecessors always made the most sense to me. We had many comparisons earlier doing just that.

COMG often has a bias for certain games, so crossing series with others will often make things quite confusing.

For example, theDX is comparing AC NH, Pokemon LA and Splatoon 3.

Does Splatoon 3 have a chance at ever beating Animal Crossing in sales? I would say a big no. This is despite Splatoon 3 having more points than AC, due to COMG'S anti bias of AC.

PLA is a little bit more interesting because it too is a 2022 game and a newish kind of game, thus being slightly different to the typical Pokemon openings.

Regardless of how Splatoon 3 performs ln Comg with preorders, it was always going to have an opening of over 1mil physical in Japan. The comparison to Splatoon 2's preorders without comparing to any other games with 1mil+ openings could have lead to quite low expectations. On August 7th in this thread Alex_the_Hedgehog for example compared Splatoon 2 and 3 and then concluded that "it's not impossible" for Splatoon 3 to debut higher than 2, despite it being quite obvious. The sequel to a 5mil+ seller is not going to debut below 1mil physical.