HigHurtenflurst on 22 July 2022
~4.5m seems reasonable to me for year end for Switch. Obviously it won't be able to keep up with 2019 sales after Lite launch but this year currently has a 750k advantage over the 2019 year.
4-4.5m was a great prediction earlier in the year, even now I think it's still slightly more likely to fall below 4.5m than go over... but at this point for it to go as low as 4m seems highly unlikely. The weeks left to come are 30-52, looks like the lowest sales for that period were ~2170k in 2018. The Switch is in decline from it's peak now but it's not going to sell as low as 1.6m in that same period unless there are massive supply shortages again, it would have to average less than 40k per week until the holidays.
