Russia and Ukraine flashpoint

[Farsala]

Sadly looks like a long war ahead. The soviets lasted 10 years against Afghanistan and lost between 32,000-46,000 troops (killed). The operation was overall much smaller though, so not directly comparable.

I think Russia will last a maximum of 5 years. 1 or 2 years maximum of offensives and then defensively defending their gains for a few more years.