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At the very start of the generation I thought Xbox might pass PlayStation in the Americas in the middle or end of the generation, and it would be a very long and grinding process that relied heavily on major software releases that catered to western markets specifically. I did not expect the chip shortage to last as long as it did.

The chip shortage probably put Xbox several years ahead of schedule in terms of marketshare recovery, and the existence of the Series S at its price point means that marketshare leadership in the Americas for Sony is now permanently out of reach. A pretty stunning reversal compared to 8th gen.