| aTokenYeti said: Was with you on a lot of this until the end. There is absolutely no way that Xbox sells 70 million consoles lifetime with PlayStation selling 120 million consoles (which is where it would be if Xbox was behind by 50 million sales). We have seen from 3 consecutive console generations (6th, 7th, and 8th) that the global console market has been able to support no greater than 175 million combined PlayStations and Xboxes. We have seen 0 evidence that this has changed, and it would take a seismic shift in the market for this not be the case. If Xbox manages to sell 70 million consoles, a hard ceiling of 105 million consoles can be pretty safely assumed for PlayStation. Similarly, if PlayStation 5 manages to hit 120 million consoles, we can expect no greater than 55 million Xbox Series X|S consoles. Personally, I find the former more plausible than the latter. PS5 is well off PS4’s sales pace, and X|S is well ahead of the Xbox One’s sales pace. The simplest outcome is the most likely: the PS5 is going to sell less than the PS4 lifetime and the Xbox Series X|S is going to sell more than the Xbox One lifetime. |
I've said this in other threads but I think the pandemic has brought back a lot of lapsed gamers which will boost the overall market for hardware sales. Otherwise the PS5 and Series X would not have stock issues at this point in the generation especially with their price tags. Just look at how easily available the PS4 and Xbox One were 6 months from launch. I actually purchased a PS4 with ease 8 months after launch. When the PS4 hit 10M lifetime sales, it was easy to find in store or online, but the PS5 was still extremely supply constrained despite hitting 10M faster than the PS4 with a higher price.
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