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xMetroid on 14 March 2022
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mk7sx said:

Switch basically needs to get to 10M by end of Sep to lock in another 20M year. Given that 2022 software lineup is probably the strongest Apr-Sep period its ever had, I think pulling another 6-7M in that 6 month frame should be a cakewalk. I think this feels like another 24-25M year, not merely 20M year.

Agreed. Switch will just have big titles after big titles this year, ensuring there will be less slow periods. Even summer will be strong with Strikers and Splatoon 3. 

I see it doing around 22 millions without a revision, and 24-25 with a revision.

trunkswd said:
gtotheunit91 said:

I still think PS5 will outsell Xbox Series this gen, but not by a wide margin. I've read a lot of people still thinking PS5 will wipe the floor with Xbox, but they forget how much of the market Xbox caught up on going from the 6th gen to 7th gen

PS2: 155 million
Xbox: 24 million

PS3: 87 million
X360: 85 million

That's quite the catch up over the course of a single console generation. And with Xbox soon to be pumping out games nonstop along with the really unfortunate shortages Sony is needing to overcome, we're in for a very competitive generation. Then there's Nintendo lol

This gen will likely end up somewhere between 7th and 8th gens. 70-80m for Xbox Series X|S vs 100-110m for PS5. With the shortages I am expecting this gen to be a year or 2 longer than usual.

I highly doubt they will be able to sell almost the same amount of PS5 they did with PS4. They will have 2 years of extremely low sales and it won't resolve magically to a 20 million+ year next year. I also doubt they will make this gen last for 8-9 years just cause there was shortage at the beginning. Their are dependant on third party games and they will need to catch up with PC at some point and i doubt even a mid gen upgrade will be able to make them last as long.

PS4 had everything going for it and won't reach 120 millions. With tough competition and 2 years with an advantage to MS + them having a way bigger output of games later on, i feel like we are going to be looking more at a 85 millions to 95 millions ratio.