When are you expecting Switch 2 to come out?

[The_Liquid_Laser]

The further this generation goes, the later I think the Switch 2 is coming.  Here are some things to consider.

1.  Chip shortages will prolong this current generation.

2.  Every fiscal year, Switch releases more games than the previous fiscal year.  That is also going to be true of the current fiscal year (ending Mar. 31, 2022), and all indications show it will be true of the next fiscal year too.

3.  Switch still has not had a price cut.  In fact we are now in Switch's sixth year, and there are still hardware shortages.  

4.  Nintendo first party production is currently in turbo mode.  So far we know this year will have 2 Pokemon games, Switch Sports, BotW 2, and Mario Kart DLC that doubles the number of tracks.  Any one of those things would be massive on its own, and we are getting 5.  Additionally, even if none of those things released this year, it would still be a fairly respectable year for software: Splatoon 3, XC3, Bayonetta 3, M+R2, Kirby, FE Warriors, etc....  

One thing I know about Nintendo is that when they release a lot of software like this, then the next console is not coming any time soon.  This is probably the most impressive software year Nintendo has ever had.  That means the maximum amount of resources possible are currently devoted to making Switch games.  It's going to take them a few years to prepare software for the next console, because right now it doesn't look like they are holding anything back for next generation.

I voted 2025.  I suppose they could rush a 2024 holiday release if they had to, but I doubt it.  In fact, I see a 2026 release as more likely than a 2024 one.  I've seen Nintendo have big software years before, and they never come 1-2 years before a new console releases.