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How I think the Direct will go:

-Start with a brand new medium-ish sized game like Xenoblade Chronicles 3 or maybe Fire Emblem.
-Somewhere in the Direct they will show off Mario+Rabbids 2, Advance Wars, Triangle Strategy, Kirby, and Chocobo Racing all over again.
-Around the middle there will be a lot of time devoted to showing off Splatoon 3, which will release sometime this Summer.
-Most of the rest of time will be previously unannounced third party games and smaller first party games.
-End with an announcement of Mario Kart 9 sometime next year.

What won't be announced: Anything Metroid or Zelda.  The most we might get is some more AoC DLC and mention that there is nothing more to show for BotW2.  I also think they are going to save Bayonetta 3 for later in the year, but I might be wrong on that one.