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It seems the Switch 2 could be as late as Christmas 2024, so a Switch lifetime of 7.5 years. This could turn into another Wii drama with aged hardware being dragged on way too long. So far Nintendo has no competition in the mobile space but who wants to buy a device with a mobile chip from 2015 in 2024? PS5 proved that a new iteration can take over from a high selling predecessor seamlessly.

https://www.nintendolife.com/news/2022/01/analyst-predicts-2024-release-date-for-next-gen-nintendo-switch-successor