Went with 2025, but I could see it happening in 2027. There are two major issues. In the short term, there is the chip shortage. Nintendo likely sees Sony struggling to get consoles there and how its hurting their platform. They don't want to end up in the same situation. Console launches are risky, and Nintendo knows this. They wont jump the gun. The other issue is the economy. Inflation is going to be an issue and the Fed basically has to raise rates and cause a recession to deal with it. It's a damn if you do, damn if you don't situation. Nintendo has a huge install base and games are still selling well. They don't want to throw that away if they can't sell consoles.
What I expect we'll see is a Super Switch in 2024 or 2025. It will play Switch games and new releases will be on both. They'll phase the basic Switch over 2-3 years. But all in all, I don't see the next generation happening any time soon. Holiday 2024 is the earliest it could happen.
Visit my site for more
Known as Smashchu in a former life
