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It will be close to 12m.  Not sure if it will be slightly above or slightly below, but I voted 10-11.9m.  PS5 is only going to see YoY growth in Europe.  The chip shortage means that Microsoft will get a bigger chunk of market share in North America.  And the Pacific nations mostly want Japanese games which means they will be Switch dominated.  I'm sure Europeans will be glad to buy a PS5 though.