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Agente42 said:
Farsala said:

I think one big issue is comparing peak Switch SW sales (year 5) with the opposite of peak PS5 SW sales (year 1).

Sure you can compare to the Wii U as well, which peaked early and died quickly.

But the issue is that the PS5 doesn't have any major Japanese exclusives yet. Most are shared with the PS4, and it looks like it will continue for a year or 2. Sony apparently believes it is worth it, we shall see in the coming years.

I think being so alarmist about the PS5 so early in its life is just premature. This premature alarmism is just exacerbated with the massive supply issues worldwide. Hopefully the picture becomes more clear with proper supply and some solid Japanese exclusives.

It´s not alarming when you have data, one year on the market, contamination on the satellites market, etc

I believe one big game can improve sales, but one year in the market defines many things, the potential sale is a good example.  

It´s much harder now to try to surpass or equal Ps4 hardware sales, per example. 

The decline was long ago, before PS4, and PS4 have weak competition and all big third parties on their side. 

Ps5 has dreadful software first year, a good competition ( Switch and Xbox series S). And high price. How much does all this help in future sales?

PS5 won't ever surpass the PS4 HW or SW in Japan. But for now according to famitsu PS5 is not too far off on HW when compared to the PS4, and that is with massive supply issues.

PS4 contended with the Switch, PS Vita, 3DS, Xbox etc. Now PS5 is contending with the tail end of the Switch and Xbox as always.