One thing that should help bolster Switch is that a lot of the Switches sold lately are from households where people already own one (either someone is upgrading or another one is being bought so people can have their own). Being a handheld and home console has really helped.
I could also see Nintendo dropping the OG Switch completely next year and then bring the OLED down to $300 (maybe even a slight drop in the Lite's price as well). That could be another factor that brings Switch over 20M for the year in 2022. (Also, if they do drop the OG Switch, I could see next year's BF bundle being the OLED packaged with MK8 DX). By the way, I wouldn't be surprised if we got a small amount of tracks & characters for MK8 DX next year since it is the 30th anniversary of the series. I don't expect a new Mario Kart or anything big, but I just can't see them leaving MK8 DX mostly untouched throughout most of the Switch's life.
