Famitsu sales: Week 47, 2021 - (15th Nov - 21st Nov)

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TheBraveGallade said:

Otter said:

How can one determine the native demand for PS5 based off software sales if the global shortage is drawing consoles from the country? People do not buy software for platforms they don't own, but how many people want to own the platform? 

PS5 in Japan - Nojima Online announced their lottery results for people who applied to buy PS5 - Standard model has demand exceeding supply by about 60x and digital by about 30x, up from 20x and 30x in Sept. #PS5

— David Gibson (@gibbogame) October 25, 2021

mostly casue the very low attach ratio in japan specifically, where there is a high phisical attatch ratio AND the cheapest place to buy the console, means that its very likely that a LOT of the consoles sold in japan are actually resold overseas.

plus, we are still in year 1, meaning its still early adopter boom stage so far.

But your attach ratio numbers are incredibly inaccurate.

You first do not know how many PS5s are being used by players vs being scalped.

You then ignore factors that could potentially change attach ratio from 50-100% (PS4 software, F2P software popularity, digital software).

How can anyone take these attach ratio estimates seriously when they have a potential upside error bound of 100-200% lol