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Given the chip shortage situation, it is guaranteed that Switch will be down YoY.  I also think PS4 2014 vs. PS5 2021 is going to be very close right until the end.  I can't tell which one is going to come out on top, but I do think PS4 2014 will continue to close the gap each week.

Out of the current consoles, the only one I see "winning" in your face-offs is X|S 2021.  It really is selling so much better than XB1 2014.

curl-6 bet me that PS5 + X|S sales would reach 56m before year end 2023 and he was right.
My Bet With curl-6

My Threads:
Switch Will Be #1 All Time
Zelda Will Outsell Mario (Achieved)
How Much Will MH Rise sell?
My Bet With Metallox