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twintail said:

This is a prediction based on what? Anecdotes...?

Ok, PS5 has a bunch of released/ announced exclusive indies. This indie situation hits all 3 console makers in different ways.

Ummm...  no.  It's based on some fact (eg. Xbox One lifetime sales being less than PS4; a growing number of news stories listing indie games coming later or not at all to PS; etc.), some anecdotes, and some speculation.  A healthy mix of the three.  You suggesting my post is only based on anecdotes is objectively false.

As to your point, exclusive indies is actually a very poor measure for trend-analysis as exclusive indies are often based upon financial incentives offered by the platform owner.  Third-party indies is a better measure for trend analysis, IMO.