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Yea Metroid is not a big IP in japan rn. Maybe the fact that it is bundled with the launch of the OLED model might help it a bit since the new system is in high demand there. Switch should bring it to higher than usual level too. But yea i'm not expecting anything groundbreaking there. Maybe WoM will have it's effect. That's the main reason why Dread won't reach like 7-10 millions, just cause it's not a global appeal franchise. Europe and NA will be enough to push it above 5 millions imo tho.