The Switch shipped 139.36M by 31.12.2023. LT sales expectations?

[The_Liquid_Laser]

Dulfite said:

The_Liquid_Laser said:

1) All of those games you mentioned put together sold about 1/2 of Animal Crossing's total.  The year 2020 was all about Animal Crossing when it came to sales.  Most of the other games hardly did anything except for the evergreens.

2) All of your other comments seem to be based off what people say on the internet.  The internet is the land of bullshit.  If the internet says one thing, then you should probably bet that the opposite will happen.  The internet complains about Pokemon Sw/Sh, and it's on track to be the second best selling title ever.  If they are complaining about OLED and BD/SP, then you should bet on both doing well.  The internet narrative has very little to do with sales reality.

So games only count as success and pushing hardware if they sell 25-30 million copies? Seriously, are we at that point now where expectations of sales are this ridiculously high? 3 million sales is WONDERFUL and absolutely moves hardware. Yes, nothing beat ACNH, but I didn't say anything did last year.

In my opinion, OLED Switch is just filling a niche market on Switch. It will do no better than the New 3ds/New 3ds XL did compared to 3ds.

When it comes to new releases last year, everything on the Switch paled in comparison to Animal Crossing.  You are trying to tell me what drove holiday sales, but nothing significant was released around the holidays.  It wasn't new releases driving holiday sales.  Switch had an amazing 2020, but the holiday season was the least impressive part.  In fact, Animal Crossing sold 5.14m during the holiday quarter making it the top selling Switch title for that time period.  The whole year really was about Animal Crossing.

What is more impressive is that Switch sales in 2021 are keeping pace so far with 2020, and it has mostly been compared to Animal Crossing's strongest part.  That means Switch's momentum is strong going into the holidays.  The least popular Pokemon games on the 3DS still sold around 15m.  The OLED model will boost sales a lot even if it is ultimately unpopular.  We can see now that the Switch Lite doesn't sell nearly as well as the base model, and yet Switch Lite boosted sales significantly for the first few months after its release.  The OLED model will do the same thing even if it ultimately proves unpopular.

Every indication shows that Switch sales for 2021 will be higher than 2020.  It doesn't matter how much people on the internet dislike Pokemon or the OLED model.  Both are going to significantly boost sales for the holiday quarter.