javi741 said:
Based on sales this quarter, the previous quarter, and recent NPD sales figures. I think it is finally safe to say that the Switch has finally past its peak when it comes to sales numbers after over 4 years, which is quite an accomplishment for a console. Similar successful consoles like the wii peaked way earlier where 2.5 years after launch we started seeing declines.
Some people might argue that the Switch still could reach peak sales again with more new games, price cuts, and hardware iterations. However, people need to realize that typically when a Nintendo console begins to see declines after two quarters or more, it typically almost always means that the console has reached its peak in sales and will continue to decline quarter after quarter from here on out with a few exceptions. Even though many Nintendo consoles do recieve price cuts and new games after sales begin declining, it doesn't usually stop the sales trend that console sales are declining. Only time we've seen major and prolonged growth from a price cut for a Nintendo console was the GameCube with the price dropping to 99$ in 2003. However, the GameCube in an Anomaly failed console that struggled to appeal to anyone unlike the Switch, so the price cut was able to significantly boost sales for people who never necessarily were interested in the GameCube initially. The Switch isn't in that situation.
However, the Switch declining is nothing to be disappointed at all when it still sold an amazing 4.45M this quarter alone. Now Nintendo's focus should be prolonging the systems life for as long as possible. I fee like 2022 we'll finally see a price cut for the Switch which will certainly help sales. Hopefully we'll see more new IPs to expand the Switch's appeal to more people, while Mario,Zelda and pokemon will certainly still help Switch sales, I think new IPs will definitely help more with the Switch's expanding. If course new hardware iterations will help, maybe an actual switch pro in the future or a TV only switch.
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Yes from a broad historical context it's still great, the 2020 sales were unprecedented and should be looked at as the corona bonus so not eclipsing or maintaining those lofty figures isn't unexpected.
