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I've been estimating about 170m for a while now. However, if I have to choose between under or over that amount, then I'll choose over. Switch still has a lot of life left in it. Even after Nintendo releases the successor system, Switch will keep selling. The 3DS kept selling decently even after the Switch released, because it was still supported even after the Switch released. Now if a disappointing system like the 3DS can keep selling, them you better believe that the Switch will keep selling.