curl-6 said:
Slownenberg said:
So true...well, if you add in AC in there obviously, cuz that was like the ultimate system seller. But at this point Switch doesn't really need "system sellers" that give boosts to the sales. It's got a 400k-500k weekly global baseline. It just needs to steadily continue to pump out a good library, with a few mega-selling first party games each year, and eventually drop that upgraded model, and some time after that start throwing out discounts and Switch will be good to go for another 4-5 years if Nintendo chooses to take advantage of its success for that long. Between the insane baseline and the chip shortage I doubt Nintendo could even handle a system seller game that drastically increased sales for a time above that baseline haha. I think SS, Mario Golf, Metroid, Warioware, Mario Party, Pokemon remake, a handful of other games they announced, and maybe an unannounced game or two the rest of this year is plenty (though I was absolutely hoping for either WW/TP pack or BotW2 this year). Does anybody else want to see Nintendo go for three near-30 million calendar years in a row?? They're gonna have two after this year. If new model isn't until next year, in 2022 we already know they have mega selling bombs Pokemon Legends, BotW2, Splatoon 3, add in the new model, plus no doubt a few smaller games, and then let's say they drop a 2D Mario in for the holidays....maybe we'll get three years in a row at like 28mil, 29/30mil, 27mil! |
It definitely doesn't need them as much as a young system that's still establishing itself, and its evergreen catalogue will keep it from nosediving, but I still can't help but be concerned that if it goes too long without anything big to bring in new buyers that it's pace could slow. |
Welp, Switch had a 10+ million seller come out in February, another one come out in March, another one coming in October, another one coming in November, another one coming in January. The post-AC period in 2020, along with 2018 before the holiday season, were the periods of big drought of major sellers. No such drought of huge selling games in 2021 or 2022, not sure what you're worried about. Switch has several mega selling games coming out each year, has supposedly a new model coming out at some point in let's say the next 12 months, and has plenty of 3-5+ million selling games coming out as well, on top of the fact that Switch is, other than the DS, the hottest thing in the history of the video game industry right now, and as a fall back they could always introduce their first price cut during year 6 of it's lifecycle if Pokemon, Zelda, Splatoon, Metroid, Mario Party, a slew of other new games, and a new model doesn't entice people to buy by far the hottest thing in gaming.
Personally I'm not thinking about sales falling off, I'm wondering if they are gonna hold Switch sales above 25 million three years in a row!