tbone51 said:
JWeinCom said:
And, Nintendo has a history of not supporting their systems very well as a new one is coming out. They didn't do much for the Wii after Skyward Sword. Aside from Pokemon, they cut support from the 3DS pretty quickly as well, despite it being a massive success. Unless they change course, I wouldn't expect to see the Switch being pushed hard.
Switch is tracking ahead, but I'm pretty sure that the same could have been said for the PS4. The PS2 sold about 1/3 of its units after the PS3 came out, and that kind of thing hasn't been seen since. The Switch would probably need about 120-130 million or so before a successor is released to have a chance. It's possible, but iffy. |
NSW shouldn’t get treated as past system. Things are so different, as well as the sales curve never seen before. It’s also Nintendo only system and there most successful one so I doubt they will replace it anytime soon. Add to the fact COVID19 literally pushed things back even further and bam! Lol
Going by your 120-130mil comment before a successor.... let me tell you something. So we this >>> 2017-2020 79.8mil I’ll be nice to you and make it a bit pessimistic with a new rumored model coming out...
2021: 24mil (NSW pro launch)
2022: 16mil (-30%+ YoY) and these release...Splat3/PokeLegends/etc By end of next year, NSW will be at 120mil ltd, coming off a 17mil year...... now let me give you the tbone edition 2021: 28mil (NSW pro) 2022: 22mil 2023: 16mil Thats 146mil coming off a 16mil year 😉 ..... |
If you take the pessimistic view with 120 at the end of 2022, and a successor comes out in 2023, then hitting PS2's numbers would be iffy.
20 million+ in 2022 is shaky. Based on the current Switch I don't see it. Really depends on if there's a new model and what it offers. If it's something like a New 3DS that does what the Switch does now only better, probably not. If it's something that significantly broadens the market than maybe.
