Famitsu Sales: Week 4, 2021 (Jan 18- Jan 24)

[The_Liquid_Laser]

Chrkeller said:

The_Liquid_Laser said:

I don't think PS5 will even overtake PS4 nor will it come close. 

And you are right that it's definitely too early to tell going by the data.  Launch data is basically useless in determining lifetime sales.  Wait until Dec 31, 2021 for PS5 and compare it to Dec 31, 2014 for PS4.  That will give a pretty good indication how PS5 is going to do, either in Japan or worldwide.

It will be interesting.  Maybe I just undersold Nintendo as a brand, but when the Switch was announced I was expecting 30 to 50 million sold worldwide.  Needless to say, the Switch has decimated my expectations.  Fricking wild fire, and while the Wii hit a brick wall and dropped in sales, the Switch doesn't appear to be slowing much.  Nintendo has a crazy winner on their hands.  A Switch 2 in a few years that is fully BC is a no brainer.  

At this point, Switch has blown away Wii sales.  There is even a semi-decent chance it will pass Wii lifetime (worldwide) by the end of this year.  Right now it's probably more appropriate to compare Switch sales to the DS.  That's more like the level it is selling at (and without a price cut.)

Mnementh said:

Chrkeller said:

It will be interesting.  Maybe I just undersold Nintendo as a brand, but when the Switch was announced I was expecting 30 to 50 million sold worldwide.  Needless to say, the Switch has decimated my expectations.  Fricking wild fire, and while the Wii hit a brick wall and dropped in sales, the Switch doesn't appear to be slowing much.  Nintendo has a crazy winner on their hands.  A Switch 2 in a few years that is fully BC is a no brainer.  

Well, with Nintendo being Nintendo I expect a SwitchU which totally tanks. Nintendo can sometimes hit the need of the market perfect, and then turns around to make something completely stupid.

I do have a little reservation about Switch 2, because of the Wii U debacle.  However, I think it is more likely that Switch 2 will be another big win.  The main problem with the Wii to Wii U transition is that the Wii was too contrary to Nintendo's DNA.  The developers really didn't want to perpetually, every generation, make games like the hit Wii games: Wii Sports, Wii Fit, Wii Play, etc....  Hell, they don't even want to really make a good 2D Mario game anymore.  Instead, they wanted to make games like N64 and Gamecube and that is a lot of what the Wii U had.  The new Wii gamers didn't want these kinds of games, and so the Wii U failed.

However, Switch games are very much part of Nintendo's DNA.  All they did was merge their home side and handheld side together.  The handheld side of their business was always ultra successful, and their developers are used to making these types of games.  The Switch is a very good fit for Nintendo both internally and externally.  The market wants it and their developers want to make games for it.  This kind of synergy can work for them in the long term.  That is why I think Switch 2 will be another big hit.