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Switch should have a solid chance to sell more than 5 million in Japan in 2021, but I doubt it will be able to sell more than 2020. That would be pretty crazy.
But on the other hand we basically have no idea what is coming to switch for 9 month of the year^^ But I guess Nintendo and the 3rds would have to fire a lot of very heavy guns to sell more than 6 million in 2021.