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Alby_da_Wolf said:

I don't think PS5 can easily match NS' peak year either, but it could outsell it lifetime: when XBSS will become the minimum spec for current gen games, both PS5 and XBSX will run them more smoothly and possibly with a little more details, but porting them to NS will become very difficult, so if Ninty wants to keep a good number of multiplat ports, and the good relationships it has again with 3rd party home console games devs and publishers, it will need to release NS2 not too late, so PS5 lifecycle has good chances of being longer, provided that Sony does the final price cut earlier than the still missing PS4 one. Obviously also provided that things go well enough through the whole lifecycle.
Sure, for portable games NS is the unchallenged top, as competition totally surrendered, and those games from 3rd parties plus the whole Ninty offer could allow NS to thrive for a lifecycle as long as the longest lived competitors, but the hybrid concept was invented to recover home console 3rd party support too, it worked quite well and Ninty doesn't want to throw it away again.

Switch never relied on the type of multiplatform titles you're on about to begin with they're not even ported now the main bulk of Switch third party games are indies and games that are easily ported, the NS library itself is mainly driven by exclusives and indies no one is buying a Switch thinking "I hope they can port the next Assassin's Creed" etc... The lack of AAA focus on the platform has created an ecosystem for indies and AA titles to do well, the hybrid concept wasn't created to recover console support it was created to consolidate Nintendo's own support to one platform as to not rely on third parties much as focusing on two platforms became unviable.

NS will hit around 100m next year and likely will surpass the PS4 the year after this means that in order to even be close to the NS the PS5 has outperform the PS4 while having a longer run consistently maintaining the performance or have a very long run which is harder in today's era, NS has the luxury of a monopoly on one side of the market so aren't have more freedom in when to move on from NS. The 3DS was going for 9 years with 7 of those years being very active the NS having 7 very active years is a possible 130-140m under current momentum.

Last edited by Wyrdness - on 20 December 2020